By Luzindana Adam Buyinza.
If Hon Patrick Amuriat,Hon Nobert Mao, Gen Mugisha Muntu,and Gen Henry Tumukunde withdrawal from the Presidential RACE and declare support for Bobi Wine (Hon Robert Kyagulanyi),PRESIDENT Museveni will lose miserably especially if Opposition call for mass Violence in Kampala and other cities immediately after election calling for M7 resignation, USA will abandon M7 and it will impose a NO FLYZONE all-over Uganda, it will declare the top 10 Powerful Government officials as fugitives and wanted by CIA and FBI.
The regime will eventually fall.
The community-based intelligence organizations in Uganda like ISO and CID are not well facilitated to gather real intelligence. Museveni Rule is troubled but many don’t know…The External Security Organization is not well facilitated while CMI is not well equipped to penetrate the innermost ring of violence perpetrators if it’s organized.
The UPDF call a personal Army of Museveni can betray him just in a day once they confirm that USA is fully backing Opposition and the Violence.
But with this divided Opposition and with no clear agenda, just expect m7 to be in State House in 2021…Some of the few Opposition protesters in 2021 January will be arrested and jailed.
Truth is Museveni has done a lot for Uganda including building a National Army, ensuring peace all-over Uganda, transforming the livelihoods of Uganda, ensuring freedom of Ugandans, etc.
The strength of president Museveni is largely on his capacity to serve as a great ally of USA in the Great Lakes Region, and to keep Opposition divided in Uganda. Museveni will fall once he loose the above.
Museveni biggest mistake was to professionalize UPDF or to create a national Army, UPDF will never fully protect Museveni once they confirm that USA is fully against his rule…UPDF is a national Army but Ugandans don’t know… Illiterates think UPDF is M7 Personal Army.
No one can remove m7 from state power for as long as he is still protected by USA.
Even if the whole world unite against m7 without USA, M7 will remain President.
Even if china, Russia, japan, North Korea, Iran, etc. unite to fight m7, the man will remain a president since he will be protected by USA.
It’s only USA with capacity to cause regime change in Africa, no one else.
Even France had no capacity to remove Gadhaffi, France was helped by USA and Even UN has no capacity to remove a president in Africa without USA backing.
United Nations Security Council [UN] declared a no fly zone in Libya and it was USA which had the capacity to enforce the NO FLYZONE, No other country on earth has such capacity.
So Opposition must only work on two things…Convince USA to fully support them and also get United.
USA is fully supporting Museveni because Uganda has no Opposition. Museveni as also tried to build Uganda from a purely Peasantry based economy to now a modern nation and working towards a self-sustaining industrial economy.
Hon.Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu Aka Bobi Wine has no link to USA Authorities, but is dealing with personalities in USA.
The United States of America’s Foreign Policy is still in favor of Museveni until may be in 2025 when an oil pipeline is nearing completion.
The oil pipeline is being built by France a top ally of USA, and UK Funding Kabaale International Airport in Hoima, That is a British interest which USA must protect at all times…USA company general Electric will build the Oil Refinery in Hoima.
This is a strategic interest of the USA HEGEMONY…USA cannot antagonize Museveni now but it can if the entire opposition get united.
These are my thoughts as a common Ugandan in Kayunga.
Luzindana Adam Buyinza
Struggling Small Scale Entrepreneur